swing index ormula:
I've recovered from a book of technical analysis of Achilles Fornasini, 1) in practice, what value should I give the Limit Mover (LM).
I mean is a percentage is an absolute value, I have tried to give the value 10,
but I do not know if it's the best. Who knows how to help me?
2) The formula is complex, and I think that I have is not 'just because it does not provide an exact
case, I'll explain: to solve R
if none of the three conditions set out below is satisfied, then we set to R? FORMULA: |
We set C = closing value of the stock at day t
O = opening value of the stock at day t =
The minimum value of the stock at day t
H = maximum value of the stock at day t
C1 = closing value of the stock at day t-1 (that is, the day before)
O1 = opening value of the stock at day t-1 (that is, the day before)
L1 = minimum value of the stock at day t-1 (or the day before)
H1 = maximum value of the stock at day t-1 (or the day before)
this is the formula SI = 50 * [N / R] * [K / LM ]
to solve N ...
N = [C - C1] + 050 * [C - O1] + 0.25 * [(C1 - O1] to solve R
.....
stabilimo: where
C =
To use this application , the following formula is used :
‘
SI(i) = 50*(CLOSE(i-1) – CLOSE(i) + 0,5*(CLOSE(i-1) – OPEN(i-1)) + 0,25*(CLOSE(i) – OPEN(i)) / R)*(K / T)
ASI(i) = SI(i-1) + SI(i)
Where:
SI (i) — current value of Swing Index technical indicator;
SI (i – 1) — stands for the value of Swing Index on the previous bar;
CLOSE (i) — current close price;
CLOSE (i – 1) — previous close price;
OPEN (i) — current open price;
OPEN (i – 1) — previous open price;
R — the parameter we get from a complicated formula based on the ratio between current close price and previous maximum and minimum;
K — the greatest of two values: (HIGH (i – 1) – CLOSE (i)) and (LOW (i – 1) – CLOSE (i));
T — the maximum price changing during trade session;
ASI (i) — the current value of Accumulation Swing Index.
|
The formulae leads to a daily value that lies between -100 and +100. Signals These rules apply only to the ASI and must be correlated with the price action point. Buy Signal: Upside Breakout â?? ASI exceeds a previously significant High Swing Point Sell Signal: Downside Breakout â?? ASI drops below a previously significant Low Swing Point Tags: acc swing index , application of swing index , calculation of accumyulated swing index , forex trading analysis , forex trading indicators , formula for swing index , metstock indicators, swing index, trading indicators
Method Profste The Basics Technical Analysis Patterns retracement 6-OUT Holy Grail Short Skirt
Method Profste Trading - Trading Methods Fundamental Principles of the Technical |  | Patterns retracement
6-OUT
Holy Grail | | Short Skirt
All pages | | | Today I had again the opportunity to meet Stephen Bargiacchi thanks to another free seminar held at | Trading Library. Unlike other meetings, all occurring in | "fast" basic skills, this time I got a little more prepared and motivated to assimilate content, and especially useful to steal what I could learn to start to work in simulation. Fortunately, a man who, in addition to the presentation of the platform | T-3 of Intesa Trade | , good Profste Science has also released, exposing in a clear, concise and practical approach to his work, which now, more for my utilities, and without the presumption to summarize perfectly and without errors or inaccuracies in the concepts and techniques that I had the privilege of learning today. profste Method is based on four fundamental principles of technical analysis, as outlined at the beginning of last century by Dow, Rhea and Schabacker: | A trend with strong momentum more likely to continue than to reverse. | should be better defined the concept of trend and momentum (thrust) that is able to predict the direction of the trend. Derivative of the price? (Carina this, we should construct an indicator of chela Express). Resultant of two forces Buy / Sell? | trends often end with a climax, that is, with euphoria or a capitulation. | should see graphic examples of | Momentum precedes price. The market upswings, often alternating with periods of contraction of range of range. | Operationally this is detected with such a long session with candle followed by another with a short candle, or better yet, a series of sessions featuring candles court followed by a series of long candles. should see graphic examples of | | Profste uses three methods to determine the entry into a trend already begun. The common assumptions for the use of these methods are: | Trend established: these patterns are to be found only within an existing trend and strong. They have no validity in any phase of the market side, or trends to be defined. initial impulse: the trend has to start in a decisive manner, it should be noted operationally a long candle (possibly without shadow) at the beginning of same trend. retracement: you must wait for a retracement of the trend before assessing the possible entry. If you detect a retracement, none of these patterns is applicable. Insert graphic example of retracement.
Before we establish the criteria for determining the point of entry, it is reasonable to determine the criteria for determining the Stop Loss, the First Target and Trailing Stop and Risk Reward
Stop Loss: for all three patterns, the Stop Loss is to be positioned near the extreme of retracement (in the case of the downward trend over the maximum retracement, where upward trend, in the minimum retracement) Insert graphic examples
First target: in this case, all three patterns, the first target to be attained is common and is represented by the retest of the pulse, that is, from the extreme 'impulse that started the trend (in the case of bearish trend, the minimum of the first candle at the beginning of a long trend, in case of bullish trend, the maximum of the first long candle to the top of the train) - Add graphic examples
Trailing Stop: Once you reach the first target, if you want to remain in place and not to exercise immediately take profit, turns this target reached in stop loss, in order to protect the level of profit achieved. - Insert graphic examples
- Risk Reward: it is a good idea to make a trade when the risk / return ratio is more than 1 / 2. It 's absurd to engage in a trade that are in danger of losing No. 100, compared with a profit potential of less than 200 or even less than 100!
-
The three methods are detailed below: 6-OUT (Alan Farley)
Holy Grail (Linda Raschke)
Short Skirt (Linda Raschke) -
- In its simplicity, this method proves often very good. Special note: it is need a timeframe of time (15 minutes recommended by Profste), DO NOT use a timeframe n x-tick-tick or
(link to profste for n-tick) - Determined to be in the common conditions described above, the occurrence of a retracement, or a phase of the market side, we want to identify which is the time, if any, where the trend will continue, therefore to make an entry that gives a good chance of profit.
We follow the trend, and soon formed the first candle in the opposite direction to the trend, we expect the new ones. If after six candles does not end the retracement, probably the trend is already sold out. This limit is six candles similar to a Stop Loss Thunder . If, after a number god candles below 6, the trend resumes, there is good chance that at least up all'estremod ell'impulso.
Insert graphic examples -
So the entrance is the first candle to be made for continuation of the trend if the sixth of the previous retracement. Outcome Criteria, as well as the risk reward, which increase the motivation to entry into the trade: - Book / Volumes: look at the book (or in daily timeframe, look at the volumes). The retracement must effetturasi expressing a low, meaning a book that is empty or volumes in contrast to retrace
Candles: candles are shorter and more regular than the retracement is typical of the situation we seek. If even the candles are long smepre shorter length and in contrast to the retracement, plus the confirmation signal is positive. -
Holy Grail The method uses two particular indicators: - ADX : avarage Directional Index, Visual Trader called "Directional Movement", is an indicator of trends. Proftse should build it with 14 periods. EMA 20: Media 20-period Exponential
During the formation of the trend, it should be noted the value dell'ADX: if it is greater than 30 and is growing, then you can assume that the trend is established and is of adequate intensity. Once considered the established trend, expect a retracement of the price close to the EMA20. If after you see a continuation of the trend, then you may want to enter, providing for its continuation.
As previously indicated, the first target will be the end of the retracement and Stop Loss?? -
-
- The short skirt is a version of 6-OUT applied to the chart with 1 minute timeframe.
It analyzes the timeframe to 15 minutes to identify the conditions established trend, with strong impetus. You pass Apoio 1 minute timeframe to wait for a retracement, and you adopt the strategy of the six outs.
gremlin and options and more from intermarket Preamble December 31, 2009: the end of the transitional arrangements in respect of independent financial advisors (CFI), subject to further extension. The establishment of the new profession with a lot of Albo is getting closer but not close, we see why. Despite the legislation is already in an advanced state of composition, and the regulation of the notorious article 18 bis and 18 ter of the Consolidated Finance Act of '98 has just entered its second phase of consultation that may follow a third, also still missing the Regulation of the Minister of Economy and also the body responsible for the management and supervision of Dawn s'ha yet to be appointed, and if you add that when all is finally perfected will be held at a single entrance examination 'year, then the picture is completely undefined, exactly as they want banks and asset management. These Lords of Finance Nostrana (SFN) feared that their distribution could crumble with streams of PF converting to ethical finance bosses without bringing with him clients and assets, but at the moment I believe that this scenario will not be for nothing catastrophic in As the industry Risparmio Carpi was well organized during the years of cover-up calculated, understood how to harness the emerging profession and even more confused as the perceptions of investors with interventions targeted advertising. I am referring to the fact that the future CFI, having the obligation by law to be independent and therefore able to receive gifts without financial penalty by the radiation, provides advice to savers is not tainted by conflicts of interests while claiming to be independent of SFN failing this requirement, however, provide advice aimed primarily fund sales, insurance and structured, in the name and on behalf of the investor's interests. A CFI, in front of a low investor appetite for risk and no financial knowledge, advise government bonds or ETFs as an SFN "independent", since the distribution costs of the service, rifilerà surely at least one bond fund, this is the ethical difference between independence and independence of a . - who transposed the MiFID in Italy to introduce the new profession of the CFI, on the one hand is introducing a major change, and frustrates the other in subtly different ways (Tomasi di Lampedusa docet) and then the asset management will continue to be kept still firmly in strong hands and CFI, orphans of any lobby, will thrive only in cracks in the system. Striking example is the Municipality of Milan in 2008 when it launched a tender for "advice on the financial structure passive" (ie to rectify its huge losses from derivatives) aimed at banks and with the exception of the CFI.
- other hand, the average savings, loving the "passivity" is an irresistible attraction for the satyrs specialized in its B-side that have the means to keep them in conditions of absolute dependence and to prevent him from considering alternative advice, such as those inspired by the ethical finance or in its exclusive interest. Ethical finance is the opposite of Argentine bonds, Parmalat and Lehman have sold all SFN "Bare" or hidden in structured products sold by those who now profess to "independent." Recommendations for associations: make a list of banks and asset management companies that claim to be independent and see if they have never sold these toxic securities
and then to pillory those responsible. "Ethical finance" is an easy concept to communicate and be assimilated to the saver, and if the savings have a social function (Constitution - art. 47) then this is the area in which plant to grow the demand for Ethics and Financial Advice independent. - ...
To temper a bit 'the bitterness of these considerations, I imagined a scripted unlikely but not impossible, for the sole purpose of making an exercise in search of new management proposals that combine high standards of safety performance through multi-faceted use of the investor a derivative little known to most but what enormous potential the option whose "disruptive potential self-destructive" is manifested in direct proportion to the incompetence of those who speak in these terms. I state that in fact you can recommend portfolios "aggressive" only to those who present a "profile of appropriateness" and suitable for the inclusion of options only for hedging also require that the client is willing to follow his investment and to learn about the proposed instrument. -
This following is just the beginning of a journey of exploration portfolios "alternative" where the options are inserted to make hedging, a concept often ignored by many CFI, and also to increase the yield of a portfolio of "classic". I do not intend to produce a handbook but a story (hopefully long) with a lot of characters and the protagonist is my heteronym "gremlin." Maureen B.  |
Chapter I - The spider's web
"Hey Gremio, who had already enticed the guy made himself alive, has a two hundred thousand years ago ... he says he played with the fib of becoming ill, however is willing to risk a little '... I commend it to you but do not squeeze it too much. " This who spoke was the boss of the study Vattelapesca Independent Consultancy & Associates ... as He has turned away abruptly from my ruminations opzionistiche I could not mutter anything but with little conviction: "But you know only men eager to take money?" Already, because he advises the women did not spring to anyone, not you fool ... "Come on get it right away, so stop reading the painful shit policy plutobancocratica Italian-Po, lethal to the health of our neurons ...."
The guy comes in, polite and presentations, part of the interrogation to find out what he knows of finance, what it means to grow up with the money it hopes to save money and still have intact in fifteen years now in his sixties, the his feeling with FIP (Theft Social Security Investment) and how much and how is willing to risk, etc.. etc.. Usually mifid script but with more feeling.
GREMI: Listen, my dear deluded aspiring savings and Investor (
henceforth Mr.
IARI) by putting half of its two hundred thousand instruments now considered quiet but very high risk of being regarded by posterity as the fossil remains of
Ponzi Scheme Global and we are fools, and half on tools really cool but very high risk of giving birth only mice, I could submit a project very interesting and beautiful to behold. If this project was then followed by the expected results, but that now he has no certainty, you could double the nominal capital in about twenty years, or even between perhaps ten or fifteen, and who knows ... what do you think? (
Gremo're just a bastard when you do that, why do not you come now to the nub of things instead of playing cat and mouse?
)
IARI (
interdict and a little annoyed) Well, to be honest its way to present it does not fill me with enthusiasm, but ...
GREMI: ( imperturbable ) You are to be regarded as the least satisfied with the investment return would like to achieve?
IARI: I expect to earn returns higher than that of government bonds
GREMI: Today our government bonds to make from scratch three percent equity depending on the maturity, those to three percent will be reimbursed to Popes died ... in a nutshell, what return would get? IARI: Let's say seven percent ...
GREMI: (
silent, enigmatic, eyebrow raised enough ...)
IARI (
slight tic)
... however no less than six ... they told me that you are good and if I pay advice is obvious that I have better results at DIY.
GREMI: Yes, you have the right, and in this study there are people really prepared but I do not know whether to get the case because his six with the money he has and with a classical, like what I've mentioned before, it seems a steal ... (
incorrigible bastard, cast stone to see how he does and now hides his hand
)
IARI: What do you mean "stolen"?
interdict and annoyed) I do not understand ... six percent is three thousand two hundred thousand and you offer me something different that still do not know but that seems better than the first but always with a yield of three thousand? and if the first three thousand are not certain why these three thousand instead they should be sure? GREMI: You are right, sometimes I eat the words, I meant three thousand per month with a probability of novantanovevirgolanove percent of them each month and a lower chance of getting something more than three thousand, are interested in? (
apotheosis of the previous wicked action, he has to create havoc in other people's certainties
) IARI (
always forbidden, but in the "Our Lady appeared to me")
No, sorry, I still do not really understand ... he said three thousand a month? means trentaseimla year ... are you kidding? GREMI: (
very serious) if he wants to write him immediately on a pizzino and then put him on the contract, diciottopercento for the first year of operation less than my fee, then the second year can be increased if you want, with its capital can certainly do more but it will take time.
IARI (
with symptoms of incipient vasodilation naso-facial
) But You do not want to offer me a hedge fund ... look at the history of Madoff I know! GREMI: Do not worry, no money with me and even exotic or structured securities traded on illiquid markets or policies or certificates ... then it would be available to work actively to get three thousand per month?
IARI ( succeeded dry mouth and hoarseness ) But you're talking seriously? Perhaps I am putting money on titolini the Italian stock exchange and Nasdaq, those who sketch and then smashed them keep too? and as such provides them?
GREMI: You're right again, I forgot to tell me that with no action, at most a few ETFs in the market trends, but only at the right time and also downwards, and in this first phase saw the bubble effect on stocks and commodity produced by an abnormal increase of money supply
not working and its state debt (one day I will explain why central banks are the cancer of the real economy) and the current side the medium term, not would put them in your portfolio. Consider that I do not even think to make predictions and forecasts of anyone, for me there is no guru, only experts who every day show that they still experienced ... knows the options? (
Gremo finally true! ) IARI: No ... (swallows dazed) I know that these are derivatives such as futures, but if the options are like the options I will not fib (
that dignity! Infantile attempt to demonstrate Building on previous experience that has made, that is, mess with the fib )
GREMI: The future is all fib as a death trap for the private
true symbol of greed and of chance ... (and fortunately the vice-boss told you not to squeeze, you're a beast
) ... No future with me, the options are different from fib as Carfagna is different from Bindi, mammals are more important differences remain, but my money ... I put them only in some rare options and ETFs and bonds, only this I know I suggest to my clients and do only what I can do ... (pause
, IARI is silent and nods, then continues Gremo) One important thing to her ... in Italy and also in Padania will never find anybody who asked her to operate as a pure option writer (then I tell her what it is) even for a portion of a large capital laughable as his, and you know why? because they are very few options in those who handle their own, and those who have merely read about understand without much regard them as dangerous, they think it's just the stuff of great professionals ... I repeat, I use them safely for years and I am satisfied ... if she confirms his interest in learning more, prepare a draft financial plan that is indispensable factor in his willingness to learn and actively participate in managing their money. The next meeting will explain in detail what I mean and what do you propose should be done. If you agree I wear to work, preparing the draft and then we'll see in a few days, he says?
IARI: Okay, but I will explain everything right and then follow with patience ...
GREMI: ( marpione expression, but inside he is a pure
) For me it is not only a duty to explain everything but an absolute necessity, and not only have to count on my continued presence, but Why must even fear it will become a shadow ... (
dancing spider in its web is getting closer to the prey, the riot inside his vanity ... but he is ethical ) ,
you must be patient and work with me for a few months during which I will do a course in the practice of financial survival and she will be able to implement everything in simulation and immediately and ... when you feel ready, begin to work together for at least a year, but we'll talk about in detail next time and not illusions. The good results are obtained only with the study, the application and the right amount of risk.
( At this point a clarification is needed: Gremio does so to great passion and great as it is narcissism, and even presumptuous, even for the just reward of his work and he can show sings like working with paper options and knows that sooner or later point out as a few envious of the foolish idealist irresponsible dangerous for investors, but they are also renowned tipacci Grêmio always finds a way to get to her Instead, imagine a place which is alluded to, no? Then he is a scoundrel because failing to show for his admirers month after month to get a return of a thousand a month just twenty thousand, asking you now three times the coverage will discover on strike OTM light years away, reducing the risk in a shameful, practically less a BOT, and reserves the right to continuously improve the performance for ever and ever, who say more? Last: clarify very well because it intends to propose IARI operability in options, first as portfolio hedging and then maybe some found pure, and if there will be hesitation on the options set aside, in this first interview has floated the idea in the second with a cool head will be easier to assess their feasibility. He thinks so
)
IARI: Okei, but then hopefully you can get a better result? from what you said before, I seemed to understand this ... ( shellfish transported by the currents of the sea of \u200b\u200bgreed
)
and also from here:
http://www.traderfoundation.it/strumenti/opzioni.pdf
instead To stand on the concrete does not have much choice, you begin by reading my dissertation a year ago from here (the comment 49): http://intermarketandmore.finanza.com/fib-trading-v-3197.html
and then in the ten categories that have occurred so far.
IARI greets with a smile, seemingly relaxed, in fact, is very upset because on one hand the diciottoallanno seems huge, almost a hoax, and the other did not quite understand where the money should appear (it also asks for stuff opscionraiter stramaledicendo is the Englishman who does not know well and what enters the strangulation). Fortunately the young lady took the office just in time to show him the exit, because he was already getting so absorbed in the toilet ... but to call the elevator!
wrote on January 12, 2010 at 15:15 by
gremlin
Chapter II - The revelation of the cocoon
Iari is back, it's been a few days after the first meeting.
GREMI: So, that idea has been done of the options? IARI: I read a lot, I was left with many doubts and only one certainty: all very complicated!
GREMI: But I have no doubt that she has a lot of doubts, however we will do in virtual practice for a few months and then will all be clear, you will see the results ... well then, I proposed three thousand per month with operations associated with a certain level of risk to quantify exactly the simulator then ... the awareness of the risk to which we encounter, both in terms of quality and quantity, is the primary condition for starting the 'operation that today's show ... will, however, that this risk is expected to table and then we figure it out, and external events beyond our control we will test but we will not be unprepared ... but if the risk associated with that I propose that it will be too high for her, we can lower it but remember that the greatest gain is always accompanied by greater commitment and greater operating risk, no easy money in the bag ... the priority is to stay calm so determine in advance of alert levels before the signal operating to protect us from market movements and rapid pulse, perhaps seen as unlikely within the relevant time in our strategy but still possible and dangerous ... I am working with a probabilistic approach, and then not do anything for granted, everything is possible, that's why I work for a case with ordinary working plan with a monthly already budgeted plan of extraordinary change, that the correction in a protective sense ... everything is built on a continuous monitoring markets and the macro environment ... the crucial point is the assessment of risk and whether this risk is not acceptable to her, we can minimize them to give up any extra money, okei here?
(agreements make good friends, maybe ...)
IARI: these days I was so happy with the three thousand and now I make them go away already?
(chuckles a bit 'disappointed but was reported to be conscious of my feet on the ground, however the most delicate aspect of this system is not so much a risk in itself because the tolerance of risk and therefore is much more important to stress this and nip easy illusions before starting to plan the possible gains)
GREMI: no its three thousand does not go away I do, if anything, she will give up even if I think someone with his experience should make it, on the other hand what I propose to you is not mica for all (bastard seller to the limits of more sinister manipulation, but is a hard and Gremio Iari hard with no qualms because they have a powerful ego)
in a while ... 'we see in the numbers that come out of simulation based fluctuations of the benchmark which will be in Germany, the DAX, so we will see gains and losses that may occur if you do not follow my instructions ... initially invest half of its capital, the other half keep the liquid to cover the margin call that will be required to work ... this is true for the first allocation of virtual reality, with time we will see if it is necessary to start accumulate something in bonds linked to inflation for the establishment of a capital with a view to social security, but for now let's focus on shareholder risk ... then, with one hundred thousand we buy a harmonized etieffe reply verbatim the dax and then cocooned between call and put to good first-date, ie February ... in early March stock market, which for us will always be on the fourth Monday of the month that is February 22, we will build a new cocoon of options expiring in March and so for all the months to come and enjoy your, okei? IARI: Cocoon? Look, I do not go away from here until I understood everything perfectly ... and just to take off once again this question that I just created I want to know if the purchase option must be done strictly on the fourth Monday of the month ... and if it happens that another day? GREMI: No there is nothing mandatory, but it is necessary that the transactions are still made in the early days of the month for stock prices not found with depleted by the time elapsed, however, if the dax was in marked increase could we let it grow for the first few days cocooned at the time but this is just a detail, only after gaining experience will no longer be a detail, and with practice will all be clear but now we have to go in practice ... (a few mouse clicks and columns of numbers appear on the monitor, is the Eurex website, call and put option in February, filled explains Iari asks questions and answers) 
(the beginning)
IARI: Now I begin to understand something more, something I would say that is a brilliant and intriguing the way how they are related in terms of options price between them on different bases, with time to maturity and between put and call, just a mess!
GREMI: Yeah, but once understood the complexity offers greater opportunity ... she did fib can not but appreciate the whole operation ... we do revolves around all'etieffe that we must protect and perhaps enhance the options, this structure of options which we will call it the cocoon around .. This cocoon is a flexible system that we can build as you want in relation to the risks that you want to take before I see the stock trading in real time from where we take values \u200b\u200bto start with and then build the virtual cocoon three thousand monthly virtually certain, but if he considers it too risky
(repetita Juvante) we will do something more quiet that the only protect you from falls and income abide by the goodness of Dax, if salt is gained, not lost if it falls within certain limits and there is absolutely nothing to gain as well.
IARI: Noooo .... but who says? that makes me even when I make a loss? but let me see now 'I'm cocoon that I can not imagine ... me first, remove this hope of the three thousand, and now tells me that even when the gain dax down ... then you make miracles with these options ...
(ironically the cube, in reality is no longer in the skin, also the fault of the Gremio who's pulling monkey, cat and mouse)
GREMI: The cocoon protects and enhances the gains within certain levels, a maximum and a minimum if the dax exceed these levels and you do not take place as and when I say that I say, and this is my firm commitment contract, she risks losing his money ... now we get a moment and then move on to the stock market simulations, here ... (and here
Gremlin gives birth the second monitor has always taken off, appear charts, books, directories, all a blaze of red and green numbers that are changing rapidly ... Iari approaches, little mica is interested, fascinated notes) ...
see? This is the graph of the dax ... and this is the dax ... etieffe marks el'etieffe 6038 was around 59.5 ... these are the proposed sale and purchase ... we begin to incorporate these data into the mortgage
(Gremo goes to 'where there is another monitor but the mortgage Iari is mesmerized by the dance charts)
IARI: Look, I take this opportunity for something off topic, I can see the tiscali? do you think will return to two euros?
GREMI: (dramatic pause, filled the stares, eyes wide) She has tiscali? she still has tiscali? Two €? but then she is very good! think that a few million of people bought it over a hundred, is no consolation, no? pity though that she is still losing ottantaepassapercento, but he recommended them to him some pious soul?
(a little 'healthy sarcasm when we want, we want to!)
IARI:
(Iari is a tough and cash)
I made several acquisitions in recent years to mediate, patience ... I also UniCredit treequalcosa, will return over the three? GREMI: nooo! UniCredit also ... maybe next time I tell if it's worth something groped with the options on the title above ... but I feel I have to study today to have mercy on me, even if he had the bond of the pampas apple and the milk does not say, but at this point I open a parenthesis not so quick because I want to be absolutely know what you think of my approach shareholding, whether you share my philosophy well or we may then find ourselves in disagreement with turning points market, and it would be nice ...
(the thin safety of common areas)
GREMI: People buy has always been bullish for favors received, because it always has been told that this is the only way to enter the stock market ... managers of savings instruments that offer only Bulls have agreed in saying that the long-term equity investment is always profitable, even when you are in the midst of a heavy fall or when the securities are clearly overestimated as in the case of the technology bubble of 2000 or the financial bubble burst in 2007 ... this is a long period of cheating several people dancing drunk passively because it is not stupid but just because it has neither culture specific nor the means to refute it and, if appropriate, especially because the managers know how to present a credible, then why until recently the average investor had no means of doing the fall, regardless of its mindset still remains bullish for imprinting, and you too, if they do not take offense, it is yet another confirmation
(Iari another shot but is intelligent and suffer in silence in order to redeem himself)
... a first difference of my approach is shareholding in the investment term, or rather, where the period is: no long-term as axiom but only just enough to make a decently strong uptrend ... just to clarify I say that my investment is not a love for life because things change over time and if the market goes down I can not buy much less take bullish positions, it makes no sense, now there's etieffe bearish and that's where reposition the equity in a little 'of months ... I said this because I think otherwise by managers that they must sell their funds and you should know. IARI: But it provides another collapse?
GREMI: No, I do not expect anything because I do not understand, I will most likely only the beginning of a sharp correction this year that in itself does not mean that everyone will send in ruins, but it would be stupid to stand there with a bullish position when the market take a downward trend over the medium term ... but even though I now have good reasons to remain bullish know what's the catch you happen suddenly, like the story of Dubai to name the most recent even if it lasted a very short, and I will always have the option not to give anything in the barrel ... I think all investors should ask themselves some questions sull'azionario, the first I just said if the markets go down what will be on our investment it is not protected? Managers, first and foremost to protect their backside and do not collect the savings, have no doubt, continue to invest regularly, that you make the pac ... shame that this advice is tainted by a conflict of interest as large as the universe ... I I recommend the package when markets go up and down when not, when you go down to the bottom and enough with the bears ... more etieffe Question: But what if the markets go up a bit 'and then go down but not go back now and then but not much, and so on ... in a situation like this indefinitely and dancer who has dragged on for months and months, what should I do? the operator has no doubt the more reason to continue investing in its funds even during lateral and balls! But if she asks him to come back when prices rise steeply because the mib is still light years away from the maximum of two thousand and seven and even more from its peak of two thousand, then the operator of the world can not be more correct to say that no one else know, but in the long run you always review the previous prices even if past performance is no guarantee the performance of the future ... I feel this shit I still do a liver so, especially when I think of generals who always earlier when Andreotti was in its infancy, is praised as a solid investment, guaranteed dividend, you know how many properties has can not fail, the properties are revalued on and on forever with this spiel for decades and now boasts performance as those who have bought ten years ago? and then what we are talking about long term? mica as we are all eternal Andreotti after ten years ... if I have less than 50% more than the official inflation rate the real one, or beating my head against the wall giving me the donkey or beat those of us who gave me these valuable tips ... and if it were not so correct the operator then blurted his reassuring forecasts of the future ... I would like you to always be wary of anyone who makes forecasts on the market, especially if these predictions are aimed at any own advantage, or if the annual estimates made earlier this year, tradition so sad and unnecessary for the operation ... now think how nice if some American superguru say, this year I expect to be able to make any credible estimate given the current international financial and moral upheaval, the markets are manipulated by lobbies more powerful than ever as they accord or quarrel between them, and they can all, and I know when I want to do what? the only prediction that I would do, indeed, the only certainty that I would anticipate is that equity investments that do not provide an effective form of protection from falls are at a greater risk of destruction than in 2007.
IARI: But do you really believe that you can handle simultaneously all the exchanges that are important?
GREMI: Of course I would not even able to conceptualize the idea of \u200b\u200ba cocoon ... almost no equity fund protects the capital of the viewers ... there are two popular etieffe bullish in Italy that promise protection but in reality they did suck, true buffalo on certain things ... bray derailed but now knows how I feel, I go back to the theme which is better, come on now I begin to write the numbers but the useful ones!
(Gremo add other things in the simulator) ... look at this and tell me if there is a number of high bozzolone this stunt! (gonna make it this time? "The challenge is launched to the market in February - continued)
...
And here he is the virtual portfolio, is that what will follow and comment from time to time without waiting for the next post (in February and ETF options than the reference prices of Friday, January 8): 1680 + etf loaded dax dax 59.59 taxes included with a 6038 + 3
put 6050 to 157.3
- 60 put 5200 to 12.7
- 60 call 6600 to 7.7
It starts with a net proceeds of € 3,436 (and even this promise we have kept "some would say) ETF price and the expenses of 59.59 (0.15% ). The maximum gain is in 6600 with € +12.718; to 5200 the gain is reduced to +2.263 € ETF despite the fall of 13.9%. A good number or not? Cocoon is good for all the months varying the strike. If by February 19 those levels are exceeded, the gains fade and you start to lose badly, and then something must be done before reaching 6600 and 5200: then we set an initial threshold of concern in 6400 and 5500, then follow true that intervention levels are defined only when based on the real situation, that is, market power and days to maturity. This is the risk that we encounter, and then you need to know how to deal with and handle it, it must be said that these levels are far enough apart, that is likely to be achieved within six weeks to a very low and do not put too low to the call since we are in a bull, but no time to worry about, the world is full Dubai, the cocoon is solid and, if needed, will be easily fortified, but always in respect of at least three thousand per month ... the last thing the margins: that will bother are the call and I do not know if the broker will hold good at least partially Iari hundred thousand in etf, assuming that we should rely only on liquids, then one hundred thousand would not be very quiet: at worst it will start with an ETF by eighty or seventy thousand, liquidity increases, the call will be reduced to 50 and early 3436 become 2826: between 6040 and 6600 is becoming the greatest and where it will take but a minute down a sale to recover the extra pennies missing.
Yet another reminder: this is not trading about options, beware of imitations, this is OPTIONS ...
Who got lost chapter I find it qu
the
1. How I earn? (With options)
wrote on October 20, 2010 at 17:22
by
gremlin
Option Methodological Approach - a lesson
Grant what a joke, no lesson uan, only opinions ... but I'm not joking at all that before making any investment (or speculation) I have to give me a target of a limit on the gain and my loss.
The "what I earn is not bravado but a basic element of the method of initial investment and is not based on financial instrument because the choice of this will happen at a later time. The "what I earn is only introspection. Never thought that individual psychology and the investment results are disconnected.
Who am I am saver, investor or speculator? the answer is complicated by itself and then if we add to the difficulty of attributing a single meaning to the terminology the babel is assured. Here I can only say that if I am the one who wants to recover the loss of purchasing power of their capital can not be a saver. The investor uses the pig and the bot (sic).
Rather than split hairs between investor and speculator always here I will only say that neither should be a gambler. So who is the gambler
? simple: he takes risks without being neither able to quantify a priori either to control, because it is not technically possible or simply their inability and irresponsibility; clearly has not method and has little knowledge of the instrument and the market in which it to slip.
And now that I have also introduced the figure of the speculator and investor gambling strategy methodologically correct, what then? (First you do not read books like the figure ...)
I want to recover the loss of purchasing power of my capital This is a clear well-formulated objective, quantifiable, where you can set a strategy. If I buy shares bonds, either directly or through funds and ETFs, and keep them there for months or years, an investor when the investment could not do any planning of the possible gains. If someone writes this passage is cryptic, that beats us down hard for the sake of clarity ... If I instead
fib every day means that I still have my capital, and then have a methodical and skillful speculator is able to quantify their earnings and average weekly and monthly so I can pursue the goal with a good chance of success. Too bad that these traders are winning a few and that their methodology in most cases is not replicable because closely linked to individual sensitivity. In other words can not be taken as a model for achieving the objective.
I become an investor, but this time "dynamic" rather than hire, and speculation ... but I have become a strategy and method? I have the technical knowledge and the tools to control the risk? each answer for himself!
In short: I have ten thousand to be protected from inflation and real I decide that "my" real inflation is 12%. I must then get to the end of year capital growth of twelve hundred, or one hundred euro a month.
Who's capacity to plan now for twelve hundred euro per month with ten thousand is requested to be included in live and explain how it goes.
With options
you can schedule 100 € / month I said that you can plan around a table and not earning a table. But if you think any instrument except options
allows you to plan anything, lets just hope ... Plan with the right tool is the first step to achieving the objective. And that's the miracle
options
? nothing special, you can only cash out immediately what you sell, you can build a risk profile, you can set up security measures, you can decide to exploit the laterality and directionality of the market, you can do even more, but nothing miraculous. You only need to do an ass like to understand but nothing superhuman, maybe we start with this ... graficuzzo
Never say never. Even in 2011 will be essential to obtain the helmet to avoid being overwhelmed by the lists in a storm. The year that will inherit the crisis of sovereign debt. But promises surprises. The settlement in the role of President of the EU the Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, supports the idea of \u200b\u200bEurobonds, could have unforeseen implications in the face of no Franco-German. The year 2011 will inherit the slow economic recovery overseas. In this scenario, Saxo Bank, and investment bank specializing in online trading, has outlined his "weather shock" for next year which will also highlight currencies that could surprise positively and those that could touch all-time low. 
Here are the daily and weekly 
Analisi Tecnica 
, November 1, 2010, at 13:11 
as the price of the option to beat the market; 
TRUST FOR THE DISABLED: allows you to manage various assets (property, money, personal property, securities, insurance, etc.) in favor of the disabled individual. The instrument is surely preferable to the administration of support or forms of protection and guardianship where the judicial review is still overwhelming and leaves very little room for self-management (consider, for example, that the sale of both in the case of directors who support the protection and / or receivership requires permission of the Court and that investment can not be carried out otherwise than in government securities). 
